The Queensland
Government’s first budget attracted plenty of attention. Now, as the budget
reaction settles, it could be time to turn attention to some of the
non-budgetary measures which won’t cost the state anything but which have the
potential to stimulate the economy quickly and start generating much needed cash
flows and taxes in the economy.
The fiscal measures contained in the new LNP Government Budget
have drawn an extraordinary amount of media and public attention. The reality
of cutting costs though really shouldn’t have come as any surprise. Mr Micawber
(from Dicken’s David Copperfield) knew the formula well:
"Annual income twenty
pounds, annual expenditure nineteen pounds nineteen and six, result happiness.
Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six,
result misery."
The reality which seems to have been lost is simply that you
can’t pay for public services (or public servants) unless there are sufficient
taxes generated by the private sector to pay for it. You can’t have the public
without the private. And the private sector in Queensland has been weakened –
construction is down, confidence is down, tourism is down and agriculture has
had a rough trot at the hands of some variable seasons (the latest being an
exception). The government either raises
taxes or cuts costs. It did a bit of both.
Some industry groups had pressed for tax cuts, including in
the property sector. As justified as lower taxes might be, I never really saw
how this new government could deliver cuts given the economy and budget it
inherited. They will hopefully come in future budgets but there are in the
meantime plenty of things the government can now turn attention to, which won’t
cost the budget but which will have just as big an impact on restoring
confidence and stimulating the appetite for risk.
As I pointed out back in April (read
it here) tax cuts alone are only a part of the solution. The bigger
challenge in many ways will be to cut the excessive burdens of regulatory
compliance which have so effectively stifled development in the property and
tourism sectors – for nil apparent gain.
Red tape (or green tape as much of it is now called) has
grown exponentially in the last decade and as it grew, the willingness to
continue by those subject to it, diminished. Development activity (the supply
of new houses and apartments, the creation of new retail infrastructure or the
creation of new tourism assets) has reached a generational low.
(I always thought the colour coding approach adopted by
bureaucracies is an insight into where it all leads: a ‘green paper’ gets
drafted for comment which later turns into a ‘white paper’ and this then turns
itself into ‘red tape’ which leads us all into a ‘black hole.’ You see, it’s easy
once you understand the process!)
Here’s one example. The current ‘Sustainable Planning Act’
in Queensland runs to nearly 750 pages. That doesn’t include any number of
consequential regulations or referral legislation. Quite a page count! (I’m
told the brag by some members of the previous government was that a KPI of the
Sustainable Planning Act was that the word ‘sustainable’ appeared on nearly every
page. Sustain-a-babble more like it). By
contrast, the Local Government (Planning and Environment) Act of the 1990s ran
to 170 pages. So we now allegedly need
750 pages of legislation to do what 170 pages used to accomplish at less cost,
faster and with more certainty 15 years ago. Are the outcomes today any better?
No. So what was the point?
The same story could be repeated across any number of local
governments whose planning administrations have grown exponentially in that
time, delivering in the process only the same outcomes but costing vastly more
and taking a great deal longer and with a good deal less certainty. (I wonder
on that score how the nearly 300 staff of the Sunshine Coast Council ‘planning
directorate’ are faring? They would be immune from State Budget cuts but surely
something will have to happen… having more planners per head of population than
doctors is a sign that things aren’t so sunny on the Sunny Coast).
Some simple observations point to the extent of over exuberant
regulatory controls. For example, why is building a residential house in a
residential area now subject to a costly and lengthy development assessment
process with the local council? Why does this simple act of building a house
invite people to ‘Have Your Say’? Surely the relevant building or design codes
are enough. If neighbours don’t like the architectural style of the house you want
to build on your property, it’s none of their damn business, provided it meets
code guidelines. Private certification, not assessment teams at the Council,
should be all the process required.
It used to be that the simple question of ‘what can I do on
that particular block of land’ was answered in a pretty straightforward way.
Now, it all depends – it depends on what ideas you have, it depends on how the regulatory
planners and local politicians feel about those ideas, it depends on how tenacious
you are in pressing for the most permissive approvals possible, it depends on
what your neighbours think, it depends on what any number of other government
departments think, it depends on what the green movement thinks, and it can
also depend on what the local media think. Get all those unknowns lined up, and
you can get moving.
All that the additional regulation has done is create more
ambiguity. More words equal less clarity. My suggestion to the government and
to local councils is to dust off the planning laws of 20 years ago, give them a
modern title and use that as a starting point.
If clarity is one objective we should aim for with less red
tape, so too is flexibility. That may sound counter-intuitive but it doesn’t
need to be. Planning laws can be more specific about the types of outcomes they
will support in certain locations. For example, converting standard detached
residential to small lot housing for seniors in areas surrounding shopping
centres seems a no-brainer.
So too does encouraging an expansion of competition in the
retail sector. The dominance of Woolworths and Coles and of shopping centre
owners under ‘centres policy’ has created a significant barrier for entry for
new retail businesses. Aldi, for example, is
on the record for targeting Victoria for expansion because its planning
laws are superior to Queensland. Having some of the highest retail rents in the
world is not a good thing, and more competition in retail by allowing more
retail space to be created outside the existing rigid footprints is one way to
fix it.
And when it comes to flexibility, let’s tackle the iron clad
provisions of the unworkable South East Queensland Regional Plan. The flawed maths
behind the targets of the SEQ Regional Plan have been covered before, but there’s
also the nonsense of a rigid urban boundary, one side of which allows
development, while the other preserves historic uses. This ultimately comes
down to one side of the street or another. Inside that boundary, competition
(demand) for land rises (as do costs) due to the artificial scarcity imposed;
outside the boundary land is arguably undervalued and under-utilised.
There have already been some alarmists warning of environmental
doomsday if this were to change (read
a few of them here) but change it has to. There can still be some general
intention of an urban boundary but maybe rather than using a thin black
regulatory line, try some very pale watercolours instead, so that the transition
zones are bit less defined? This could even appeal to the advanced finger
painting set which have colour coded pretty much every parcel of land in
Queensland according to rigid land use thinking. Now they can do it all again
but with water colours?
Improvements though are starting to happen. Recently, COAG
released a good report on Housing Supply and Affordability Reform (well worth a
read, click
here if you’re interested) and last week, Deputy Premier and Planning Minister
Jeff Seeney announced some initial moves to reform planning legislation. (View
it here in case you missed it amongst all the budget noise).
But most encouraging for me was getting a phone call from someone
in an office of regulatory reform (can’t recall the exact title) who was doing
some homework for the Queensland Government on regulatory overkill. He had read
the recent Pulse on tourism and was looking for some case studies. We had a
good chat and I pointed him in the direction of a few people with some pretty
sorrowful stories to tell, and even shared my own frustration at the banning of
septic tanks and how even going to the toilet has now become a costly victim of
regulatory overkill and a disincentive for micro tourism development.
Maybe it’s a sign?