Sunday, January 19, 2020

The new jobography


We’re all pretty much familiar with demography as the study of human populations, their characteristics and where (and how) they live. But does demography go far enough? Do we need a new discipline to bring more focus to the changing nature of work: the types of jobs we’ll see more of in the future, where they’ll likely be located, and their other characteristics? 

I suggest there is. And I propose we call this discipline job-ography! 

A person who studies jobography is a jobographer. This is different to an economist (though they may share a number of professional interests). The economist tends typically to focus on economic systems and how they function. The jobographer will focus on how industry and employment changes impact on locational behaviour of where people work, and all else that arises from the job. 

Different jobs need to be in different types of places. They require different types of buildings with different services. Different jobs require different transport arrangements. They require different ‘clusters’ of related industries  to thrive. Different jobs have different training requirements, they pay differently, they offer different career paths, they generate different by products and have different social impacts (noise, smells, waste etc) … it’s a long list. 

It’s also bleeding obvious, which begs the question: “Why is so little urban planning focussed on understanding how changing jobs will change cities?” In my opinion (which is all this is) our city planning, design and associated “urban” professions have been overly focussed on where people live now and into the future, and on how to accommodate future housing needs. Think about “the brawl over sprawl” – which sought to limit the outward growth of housing. It rarely if ever touched on “sprawling” employment. And “density” as an urban concept is more frequently discussed on the basis of housing density; less often is it used on the basis of considering the different employment densities across various industries. Regional and city plans across the country have typically been more preoccupied with managing population growth and housing choice (and location) than managing employment centres or changing job markets and their needs. Comparatively less attention has, it seems to me, been devoted to understanding how the nature of work has been changing where we work - and how this ongoing evolution will have a significant impact on how we set about planning for the future. 

Case in point are the raging debates around congestion, public transport and the private car. Those who advocate a punitive approach to private vehicle use (such as congestion taxes, high fuel taxes, cordon tolls) to drive greater public transport use forget one very important thing: public transport typically serves a highly centralised workforce (those in or near CBDs) with regulated work hours. As the proportion of a region’s jobs located in city centres decreases, the proportion of people for whom public transport can work also decreases. And the arrival of flexible work practices is the enemy of the regulated “9 to 5” job, which makes scheduling PT a greater challenge. The private car is used because it offers convenience and is often the only option to commute from home to work if the place of that work is not in the city centre. 

It has been changes to the nature, type and location of jobs that’s driven changes to the way we get around, as much as anything else. But rarely is the nature or location of work given much airtime in debates around managing or alleviating congestion. It’s as if the wider presumption is that mostly everyone works in a 9 to 5 office job in the inner city and that life in terms of the commute routine is pretty much as it was in the 1970s. Sadly (or happily depending on your point of view) it ain’t so. 

The changing nature of work and the different industries that will provide us with jobs in the future is going to have a growing impact on our cities and regions going forward. Two of the biggest employers in the foreseeable future (many economists predict) will be health and education. Unlike office or administrative jobs of the past, these are invariably more suburban in their nature than they will ever be inner urban. Are we spending enough time thinking about how these and other future employers are going to need cities that can accommodate their suburban workplace needs? Are we prepared for how future urban growth industries are going to have very different location and infrastructure requirements to those which have shaped us so far? I don’t think so. 

So in order to be prepared, we will need jobographers. And lots of them.

Look out for it on seek.com anytime soon: “Jobographer wanted.”

You heard it here first! (And yes, I even checked Google. This could be the first time you heard of jobography to describe the study of jobs). 

4 comments:

  1. Hi Ross.
    My PhD thesis at UQ is very much on the topic of what you refer to, the location of jobs, where people will live, and how they will get between, in metropolitan Australia.
    You may find Enrico Moretti's book, "The New Geography of Jobs" helpful to your understanding. Likewise Grattan Institute's "City Limits" addressed these issues. It is not really a new topic. It's all relative. Relevant facts I have found include: at the 2016 Census, in the total of the four LGAs surrounding Brisbane, there are 56 jobs for every 100 resident workers - in other words, people are going to look for work in Brisbane, significantly, in the middle of Brisbane. Secondly, the relevant measure is of the employment suburbs located within 5km of the GPO, not just the CBD. This is the highest concentration of jobs, accounting for 34% of Brisbane Urban Area jobs in 2016, namely 346,108 (35% in 2006 [278,910], 36% in 2011[315,860]). Thirdly, in 2016, 49% of BUA jobs earning more than $75k were located in the Brisbane Inner 5km suburbs, and 57% of knowledge-intensive activity jobs. If you want a high-paid, high skilled job, you may want to commute to the middle of Brisbane.
    These data suggest that our metropoltian planning should put a strong emphasis on providing very good radial public transport to Inner Brisbane (think Cross-River Rail), and good circulation within the Inner 5km (think Brisbane Metro), so that everyone can have feasible access to the best-paid, most numerous jobs. Regards,
    Jeff Humphreys

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks Jeff, and yes it's all relative as to where you choose to draw the boundaries. My gripe with elitist thinking is that it always seems to conclude that yet more taxpayer dollars should be lavished on those with the best jobs, best incomes and best real estate. Why are the people of Springwood, Cleveland, Chermside, Upper Mt Gravatt, Caboolture and other centres so underserving?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Ross,
      When I said: "it's all relative" I meant that to identify the relatively high significance of the Inner 5km is not to deny the desirability of optimising the employment potential of outer employment centres - but I am exploring whether it is legitimate to expect that more than a certain proportion of jobs will be able to be created in these outer centres, compared with what will happen in the middle. Over-emphasis on trying to get more employment in outer sububs may lead to distraction from the need to provide better transport to where the jobs will actually be more concentrated, in the central areas. I don't agree with you that it is a matter of selective boundary-drawing. There is a collection of inner suburbs, related to the centre, with reasonably good public transport, existing and/or planned where more, better jobs are and will be provided, which "good planning" says outer suburban residents need to have access to.
      We have been trying to get more jobs located in Upper Mount Gravatt, Chermside, Cleveland and the others since the 70s. I refer you to Brisbane's 1976 Structure Plan. It's not really lack of trying in the end, it's just that large numbers of enterprises employing large numbers of people in highly-paid, high-skilled jobs generally don't want to / will not go there. That said, my position is not to stop trying, just don't avoid also providing improved opportunities for people to commute to the middle if they choose to.

      Delete