Sir Robert Menzies
wrote his speech ‘the forgotten people’ about middle class Australia in 1942. Much
of it remains relevant today, especially for the generation of new housing buyers
who seem increasingly disregarded in public policy debates.
It occurred to me recently that with all the various lobby
groups and government agencies involved in the planning and delivery of new
housing, the needs of the actual homebuyer seems frequently overlooked or plain
ignored.
The home builders have the HIA, general builders have the
MBA, developers the UDIA, owners and developers the PCA, the planners have the
PIA, architects have the AIA and so it goes. Each group lobbies for the
interests of its members, not for home buyers. Home buyers themselves are largely
without a voice. They are the new ‘forgotten people’ in a debate about
government financing requirements, infrastructure deficits and industry
capacity to pay.
It’s reached the point that, despite much hand wringing
about the housing affordability issue in Australia, government discussion
papers and industry responses to them frequently – it seems to me – overlook the
end user. Affordability often doesn’t rate a mention. Discussions about
infrastructure levies, for example, seem to revolve around government claims
that they haven’t sufficient funds to scrap the levies while industry responses
seem to revolve around their own financial difficulties posed by the levies.
But a $30,000 levy, for a young couple on a combined $70,000
per annum (for example) is a very significant amount of money. It’s added to
the cost of a new home, and they are asked to pay for it, or borrow to pay for it
through their mortgage. This inescapable point is so widely overlooked in the
many discussion papers that you begin to suspect it’s deliberately not a focus.
It would be a difficult position to justify if it was.
Then we had some recent debate about raising the rate of
GST. Some industry groups support this. But as GST only applies to new housing
(not established or second hand stock) such a move would only widen the gap in
tax treatment which is heavily distorted by taxing new supply only. The GST on
a new $400,000 home is $40,000. An increase to 15% would raise it to $60,000. A
big $20,000 increase for the young home buyers. Big enough to write off their chances of
entering the market with a new home. But unless I’ve missed it, proponents of
raising the GST level have not commented on what this would do to new housing.
Ditto the ongoing debates about urban growth boundaries and
the regulator’s desire to limit choices for detached housing in favour of
higher density models. The debate swirls around issues of planning ideology,
environmentalism, and growth ‘management’ (a byword, in my book, for excessive
control). Despite clear evidence of the price impacts of growth boundaries on
the cost of new land for housing, the proponents simply disregard the financial
impact on young home buyers.
In all of this, the hapless generation of new home buyers
are without a voice. Many don’t even know that up to 40% of the price of their
new dream home where they’d like to start a family can be sheeted home to taxes
introduced in just over a decade. They wouldn’t even know that someone could
buy a multi million dollar established home in an upmarket area and pay less
tax than they are being asked to.
But onwards we plough, disregarding the irrevocable damage
we are doing to society by reducing a generation’s ability to buy and own their
own home. The social and economic consequences of a generation of renters in
their old age is something, it seems, we can all worry about in years to come. After
this election certainly. And after the next one too probably. Let’s wait until
it’s too late.
There is no home buyers party at the coming federal
election. Housing has barely rated a mention (Sydneysiders with existing stakes
in the market, for example, are happy watching prices rise so why make it an
issue?) But we have Katters and Greens and Palmers and a host of other minor
parties, and the major parties also, and none of them, so far, seem to
acknowledge the magnitude of this problem let alone are they ready to articulate
meaningful and workable reforms that can actually make a difference for the
forgotten people in this debate.
Menzies had it right when he said:
“I do not believe that the real life of this nation is to be
found either in great luxury hotels and the petty gossip of so-called
fashionable suburbs, or in the officialdom of the organised masses. It is to be
found in the homes of people who are nameless and unadvertised, and who,
whatever their individual religious conviction or dogma, see in their children
their greatest contribution to the immortality of their race. The home is the
foundation of sanity and sobriety; it is the indispensable condition of
continuity; its health determines the health of society as a whole.
I have mentioned homes material, homes human and homes
spiritual. Let me take them in order. What do I mean by "homes
material"?
The material home represents the concrete expression of the
habits of frugality and saving "for a home of our own." Your advanced
socialist may rave against private property even while he acquires it; but one
of the best instincts in us is that which induces us to have one little piece
of earth with a house and a garden which is ours; to which we can withdraw, in
which we can be among our friends, into which no stranger may come against our
will. If you consider it, you will see that if, as in the old saying, "the
Englishman's home is his castle", it is this very fact that leads on to
the conclusion that he who seeks to violate that law by violating the soil of
England must be repelled and defeated.
National patriotism, in other words, inevitably springs from
the instinct to defend and preserve our own homes.”
Where is that patriotism now?
It seems inevitable that as the price of land closer to the urban core rises, density rises with it. Developers must build up to profit on the initial investment. As I see it, the problem is not increased density, nor the price at the core, but the compromises that occur in the sprawl at the periphery (and how far away people are forced to commute to balance finding a job with affordable housing). Certainly, urban boundaries increase property values by tightening demand, but they also increase values by making areas more desirable. The optimal solution in my mind is not endless sprawl and hours of traffic and commuting (as I see here in Sydney), but discrete boundaries with natural space between, and sufficient enterprise to make traversing the natural spaces an occasion rather than a routine.
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